53 Top Spending House Races

Listed below are the 53 House races where the DCCC and NRCC, along with their respective ideological partners, have spent money.  The races are listed in order of most spending to least spending.  Totals only include actual mailing and advertisement costs made between Oct. 1st and Oct. 17th.  

The list shows some very interesting information, including the Republicans effort to save Lincoln “Suitcase” Diaz-Balart while ignoring the plight of Shadegg.  Furthermore, Chabot appears to be to the Republicans what Kanjorski has been to the Democrats.  Several incumbents have simply been left to fend for themselves, including three moderates: Shays, Kirk, and Reichert.  Expect Kirk and Reichert to be defeated, while Shays may survive, yet narrowly.  

Republicans are spending heaviest against Kagan and Shea-Porter.  They are also fighting very hard for NJ 3rd.  Kratovil and Kryzan look promising in their Republican leaning districts.  Boswell, who had lackluster fundraising early on, now appears likely to pull this one off.  Baker will have an uphill climb, yet if voters come out based on economic and not social issues, then she may have a chance.  Half of Democratic ads and mailing are in support of a candidate and another half in oppossition, whereas 100% of Republican ads and mailing are in opposition.  Obviously Republicans will succeed in turning off independents with their negative mailings.  The best thing for Republicans has been Tom Cole and we should all be grateful.  Sending him a box full of chocolates and thank you cards may be necessary post-devastation to the Republicans.

I predict that almost every Republican on here will be defeated.  Republicans simply cannot keep track with Democrats or other independent groups expenditures against Republican candidates.

Republicans have initiated polling on the following races: Andal, Barletta, Bradley, Cassidy, Chabot, Lincoln Diaz-Balart, Drake, English, Graves, Kuhl, Leutkemeyer, Musgrave, Olson, Parker, Reichert, Sali, and Schmidt.

Spending, or lack of, demonstrates Republicans have abandoned the following Republican seats: Feeney, Knollenberg, Kirk, Open Seat AZ 1, Open Seat IL 11, Open Seat MD 1, Open Seat MN 3, Open Seat NJ 7, Open Seat NM 1, Open Seat NM 2, Open Seat NC 8, Open Seat OH 16, Open Seat VA 11, Porter, Shays, and Young.

(All of these seats, except Shays, should be guaranteed to flip).

Additional Republicans seats receiving no funding, yet being contested by Democrats are: Mario Diaz-Balart, Open Seat CA 4, Open Seat KY 2, Goode, Shadegg, Souder, and Terry.  If the NRCC does not move in this week to help these Republican seats, then they too could certainly flip.

Finally, there are the following Republican seats currently receiving mediocre funding.  If polling comes back and indicates these seats to be non-winnable (a cut off of funding will be the sign), then they too are flipping: Graves, Kuhl, Open Seat AL 5, Open Seat MO 9, Open Seat NY 26, Reichert, and Schmidt.

The same can be said for challenges to the following Democratic incumbents: Kanjorski, McNerney, and Shea-Porter. (Honestly spending against McNerney is a worthless expenditure, yet with Tom Cole at the helm what could one expect.  Every wasted dollar counts.).

As for the DCCC, it’s time to now step in and offset the spending in support of Lincoln Diaz-Balart.  Obviously, the infusion of cash indicates what I’ve seen for some time, Diaz-Balart is losing.  The same can be said true for Sali.

The following Democrats can now be considered re-elected: Carney, Childers, Giffords, Hill, Mitchell, and Rodriguez.

Spending by the NRCC and lack of funding by the DCCC may be a sign that Democrats have forfeited Lampson’s seat.

As a side note, these figures indiciate the undisputable obvious.  The cash strapped NRCC is coordinating with Club for Growth in some races (MD 1 and FL 24) and Freedom’s Watch (AZ 1, NV 3, NJ 7, and PA 10).  Republicans simply would not cut off funding completely in many of these races.

Here are the contests (ranked in order of spending) where the DCCC and NRCC, along with outside groups, are spending heavily:

Schauer (D) vs. Walberg (R) – $1,770,159

(55.75% of expenditures in support of Schauer)

DCCC: $424,232 Media and $62,722 Mailings

NRCC: $387,252 Media and $149,875 Mailings

Right to Life: $10,677 Mailings

Club for Growth: $226,125 Media and $9,276 Mailings

Am. Fed. SCME: $500,000 Media

Heinrich (D) vs. White (R) – $1,299,722

(73.84% of expenditures in support of Heinrich)

DCCC: $410,492 Media and $49,230 Mailings

Am. Fed. SCME: $500,000 Media

NM Repub. Party: $340,000 Media

Dahlkemper (D) vs. English (R) – $1,256,183

(67.52% of expenditures in support of Dahlkemper)

DCCC: $288,300 Media and $70,444 Mailings

NRCC: $189,532 Media and $79,197 Mailings

Am. Fed. SCME: $489,375 Media

Amer. Med. Assoc.: $139,335 Media

Driehaus (D) vs. Chabot (R) – $1,202,992

(49.96% of expenditures in support of Driehaus)

DCCC: $438,548 Media and $127,802 Mailings

NCCC: $485,271 Media and $111,515 Mailings

Right to Life: $5,168 Mailings

SEIU: $34,688 Mailings

Markey (D) vs. Musgrave (R) – $1,061,049

(61.08% of expenditures in support of Markey)

DCCC: $345,322 Media and $63,536 Mailings

NRCC: $339,856 Media and $64,600 Mailings

Right to Life: $8,508 Mailings

Defenders of Wildlife: $125,000 Media

Emily’s List: $114,227

Boccieri (D) vs. Schuring (R) – $959,552

(100% of expenditures in support of Boccieri)

DCCC: $423,844 Media and $49,808 Mailings

Am. Fed. SCME: $485,900 Media

Berkowitz (D) vs. Young (R) – $896,022

(100% of expenditures in support of Berkowitz)

DCCC: $855,394 Media and $40,628 Mailings

Kratovil (D) vs. Harris (R) – $809,154

(60.28% of expenditures in support of Kratovil)

DCCC: $439,440 Media and $48,352

Club for Growth – $312,687 Media and $8,675 Mailings

Shea-Porter (D) vs. Bradley (R) – $755,618

(71.94% of expenditures in support of Shea-Porter)

DCCC: $467,756 Media and $75,856 Mailings

NRCC: $142,290 Media and $69,716 Mailings

Kilroy (D) vs. Stivers (R) – $749,708

(63.39% of expenditures in support of Kilroy)

DCCC: $407,488 Media and $42,572 Mailings

NRCC: $183,050 Media and $91,408 Mailings

Emily’s List: $25,190 Mailings

Connolly (D) vs. Fimian (R) – $713,041

(99.24% of expenditures in support of Connolly)

DCCC: $160,636 Media and $47,024 Mailings

Right to Life: $5,381 Mailings

Natl. Assoc. of Realtors: $300,000 Media and $200,000 Mailing

Martinez (D) vs. Diaz-Balart (R) – $695,702

(16.53% of expenditures in support of Martinez)

DCCC: $114,982 Media

NRCC: $488,000 Media and $90,016 Mailings

Right to Life: $2,704 Mailings

Lord (D) vs. Shadegg (R) – $693,086

(99.82% of expenditures in support of Lord)

DCCC: $637,848 Media and $53,970 Mailings

Right to Life: $7,224 Mailings

Club for Growth – $1,268 Mailings

Barth (D) vs. Capito (R) – $654,800

(0% of expenditures in support of Barth)

Natl. Assoc. of Realtors – $410,000 Media and $244,800 Mailing

Cazayoux (D) vs. Cassidy (R) – $649,135

(56.22% of expenditures in support of Cazayoux)

DCCC: $290,332 Media and $74,582 Mailings

NRCC: $21,587 Media and $164,294 Mailings

Grigsby: $98,340 Mailings

Kosmas (D) vs. Feeney (R) – $637,995

(71.57% of expenditures in support of Kosmas)

DCCC: $378,060 Media and $78,584 Mailings

Right to Life: $14,476 Mailings

Club for Growth: $166,875

Kagen (D) vs. Gard (R) – $635,843

(54.76% of expenditures in support of Kagen)

DCCC: $172,440 Media and $55,596 Mailings

NRCC: $193,295 Media and $81,924 Mailings

Right to Life: $12,443 Mailings

Amer. Med. Assoc. – $120,145 Media

Kissell (D) vs. Hayes (R) – $622,622

(100% of expenditures in support of Kissell)

DCCC: $533,654 Media and $88,968 Mailings

Kryzan (D) vs. Lee (R) – $622,270

(93.92% of expenditures in support of Kryzan)

DCCC: $517,260 Media and $67,164 Mailings

NRCC: $37,846 Mailings

Kirkpatrick (D) vs. Hay (R) – $611,006

(100% of expenditures in support of Kirkpatrick)

DCCC: $565,058 Media and $46,008 Mailings

Madia (D) vs. Paulsen (R) – $596,442

(100% of expenditures in support of Madia)

DCCC: $546,678 Media and $20,774 Mailings

SEIU: $28,990 Mailings

Peters (D) vs. Knollenberg (R) – $592,905

(83.73% of expenditures in support of Peters)

DCCC: $416,490 Media and $48,386 Mailings

Right to Life: $9,254 Mailings

Natl. Assoc. of Realtors – $87,233

SEIU: $31,542 Mailings

Burner (D) vs. Reichert (R) – $577,176

(90.68% of expenditures in support of Burner)

DCCC: $453,894 Media and $69,512 Mailings

NRCC: $49,057 Mailings

Right to Life: $4,713 Mailings

Nye (D) vs. Drake (R) – $536,390

(66.14% of expenditures in support of Nye)

DCCC: $333,008 Media and $21,736 Mailings

NRCC: $177,572 Media

Right to Life: $4,074 Mailings

Mitchell (D) vs. Schweikert (R) – $512,318

(97.41% of expenditures in support of Mitchell)

DCCC: $475,084 Media and $23,952 Mailings

Right to Life: $7,022 Mailings

Club for Growth – $6,260 Mailings

Titus (D) vs. Porter (R) – $501,898

(100% of expenditures in support of Titus)

DCCC: $434,190 Media and $56,956 Mailings

Right to Life: $10,752 Mailings

Barnes (D) vs. Graves (R) – $498,190

(71.05% of expenditures in support of Barnes)

DCCC: $325,908 Media and $28,052 Mailings

NRCC: $83,700 Media and $50,920 Mailings

Right to Life: $9,610 Mailings

Teague (D) vs. Tinsley (R) – $481,908

(100% of expenditures in support of Teague)

DCCC: $452,496 Media and $29,412 Mailings

Hill (D) vs. Sodrel (R) – $464,306

(100% of expenditures in support of Hill)

DCCC: $441,970 Media and $22,336 Mailings

Bright (D) vs. Love (R) – $454,861

(62.90% of expenditures in support of Bright)

DCCC: $202,816 Media and $83,298 Mailings

NRCC: $102,674 Media and $66,073 Mailings

Kanjorski (D) vs. Barletta (R) – $402,710

(90.75% of expenditures in support of Kanjorski)

DCCC: $323,536 Media and $41,906 Mailings

NRCC: $37,268 Mailings

Adler (D) vs. Myers (R) – $383,949

(65.57% of expenditures in support of Adler)

DCCC: $187,752 Media and $64,024 Mailings

NRCC: $132,173 Mailings

Carney (D) vs. Hackett (R) – $383,311

(98.43% of expenditures in support of Carney)

DCCC: $344,378 Media and $32,920 Mailings

Right to Life: $14,462 Mailings

Club for Growth – $6,013 Mailings

Himes (D) vs. Shays (R) – $374,294

(82.54% of expenditures in support of Himes)

DCCC: $243,546 Media and $65,384 Mailings

Natl. Assoc. of Realtors – $65,364

Rodriguez (D) vs. Larson (R) – $373,732

(100% of expenditures in support of Rodriguez)

DCCC: $198,752 Media and $5,576 Mailings

Natl. Assoc. of Realtors – $169,404

Boswell (D) vs. Guthrie (R) – $370,196

(100% of expenditures in support of Boswell)

DCCC: $317,780 Media and $52,416 Mailings

Baker (D) vs. Leutkemeyer (R) – $354,441

(74.18% of expenditures in support of Baker)

DCCC: $201,242 Media and $61,672 Mailings

NRCC: $71,760 Media and $10,000 Mailings

Right to Life: $9,767 Mailings

Griffith (D) vs. Parker (R) – $352,762

(60.60% of expenditures in support of Griffith)

DCCC: $183,218 Media and $30,552 Mailings

NRCC: $89,492 Media and $49,500 Mailings

Stender (D) vs. Lance (R) – $321,926

(100% of expenditures in support of Stender)

DCCC: $233,084 Media and $88,842 Mailings

Minnick (D) vs. Sali (R) – $306,637

(27.45% of expenditures in support of Minnick)

DCCC: $48,850 Media and $35,320 Mailings

NRCC: $213,591 Media

Right to Life: $3,541 Mailings

Club for Growth – $5,335 Mailings

Massa (D) vs. Kuhl (R) – $224,356

(73.29% of expenditures in support of Massa)

DCCC: $150,870 Media and $13,550 Mailings

NRCC: $59,936 Mailings

Wulsin (D) vs. Schmidt (R) – $202,172

(75.71% of expenditures in support of Wulsin)

DCCC: $141,526 Media

NRCC: $40,972 Mailings

Right to Life: $8,127 Mailings

Physician’s for Women’s Health: $11,547

Halvorson (D) vs. Ozinga (R) – $165,580

(100% of expenditures in support of Halvorson)

DCCC: $87,808 Media and $77,772 Mailings

Seals (D) vs. Kirk (R) – $151,492

(100% of expenditures in support of Seals)

DCCC: $82,132 Media and $69,360

Giffords (D) vs. Bee (R) – $149,983

(95.81% of expenditures in support of Giffords)

DCCC: $128,700 Media and $14,996 Mailings

Right to Life: $6,287 Mailings

Montagano (D) vs. Souder (R) – $149,104

(100% of expenditures in support of Montagano)

DCCC: $133,034 Media and $16,070 Mailings

Esch (D) vs. Terry (R) – $148,784

(100% of expenditures in support of Esch)

DCCC: $129,806 Media and $18,978 Mailings

McNerney (D) vs. Andal (R) – $128,151

(59.18% of expenditures in support of McNerney)

DCCC: $47,736 Media and $28,100 Mailings

NRCC: $40,232 Mailings

Right to Life: $6,675 Mailings

Club for Growth – $5,408 Mailings

Garcia (D) vs. Diaz-Balart (R) – $119,970

(97.48% of expenditures in support of Garcia)

DCCC: $98,018 Media and $18,924 Mailings

Right to Life: $3,028 Mailings

Perriello (D) vs. Goode (R) – $65,052

(92.14% of expenditures in support of Perriello)

DCCC: $59,940 Media

Right to Life: $5,112 Mailings

Childers (D) vs. Davis (R) – $48,336

(100% of expenditures in support of Childers)

DCCC: $48,336 Media

Lampson (D) vs. Olson (R) – $30,652

(0% of expenditures in support of Lampson)

NRCC: $27,171

Right to Life: $2,756 Mailings

Club for Growth – $725 Mailings

Brown (D) vs. McClintock (R) – $25,986

(63.95% of expenditures in support of Brown)

DCCC: $16,618 Mailings

Right to Life: $6,668 Mailings

Club for Growth – $2,700 Mailings